StonkHQ
day 0
one trading day, drawn
press Space to draw
equity$10,000.00
drawdown0.00%
exposure$10,000
max dd0.00%
Conservative · 0.28× Kelly
Kelly fraction · L* = 3.54× × Kelly
0L = 1.00×2.5
progress to goal0.00%
Auto-reset each run
Spacestep Enterrun Rreset Ksnap to Kelly Ssettings
Equity, log scale· 0 days
your equity at L unlevered 1×
Drawdown from peak
Realised volatility, rolling 20 steps
realised σ of your book target Lσ
g(L) = Lμ − ½L²σ² − (L−1)rm
theory your L Kelly L* zero-growth realised
Left of L* you leave growth on the table. Right of the red line the quadratic drag has eaten the whole linear edge, and you lose money with the edge still in your favour. The curve drops the −¼E[x⁴] term, so it flatters high L — realised growth sits below it once levered volatility gets large.
CAGRmax = exp(SR²/2) − 1
ceiling you, realised your market's ceiling reference streams
A strict upper bound on geometric growth over all constant-leverage rules. Sizing moves you along the curve; only a higher Sharpe moves you up it.
runs done0
wiped out0.0%
below start0.0%
median CAGR
Terminal wealth across completed runs · log₁₀ multiple
With auto-reset on, each run plays to the horizon or to ruin and then restarts, accumulating the distribution above. Red bars ended below the starting stake.
Current path
Setup
Drift μ ann.
%
Volatility σ ann.
%
Sharpe ratio μ/σ
Tail stress ν dial
Measured tails
Margin rate rm
%
Trading days/yr
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One trillion dollars

$1.00T
you hit the goal
time taken
realised CAGR
sizing
max drawdown